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Your Edge in Understanding & Trading Crypto Risk !

Don’t trade blind, turn volatility into opportunity and navigate crypto with confidence.

The Nature of The Beast

In this paper, we examine several aspects of volatility for the 50 largest cryptocurrencies. For instance, we study the standard deviation and variance of returns, the autocorrelation of absolute and squared returns, the beta of returns vis-à-vis Bitcoin, the leverage effect of cryptocurrency returns versus the standard deviation of returns and how calendar effects impact the magnitude of cryptocurrency price returns. As far as we know, this is the most exhaustive study done to date on cryptocurrency returns and volatility.
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Volatility Forecasting with GARCH Models

We conduct a systematic study on the statistical properties of returns of the two major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether. We further estimate six popular GARCH models for the BTC and ETH return series and find that the two-component GJR model has the best fit overall.
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The Dopamine Connection

This is the final installment in our four-part series exploring the psychology of risk. In this article, we conclude this four-part series by highlighting how dopamine driven behavior impacts our trading decisions.
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Why a Loss Feels So Much Worse Than a Win

In our previous article, we discussed some of the primary cognitive biases that impact our decision making in the face of uncertainty. In this article we zoom in, in particular, on the “Loss Aversion Bias” and how it impacts our trading decisions.
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The Hidden Biases That Distort Your Crypto Trading Decisions

In this article we shall delve a bit deeper into the primary cognitive biases that impact our decision making in the face of uncertainty.
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Why Smart Crypto Traders Still Make Dumb Decisions – The Psychology Of Risk

Risk isn't just sophisticated formulae in a risk model— it is a complex psychological experience influenced by our individual experiences, cognitive biases, and emotional baggage. This is the first in a four-part series where we’ll unpack the “Psychology of Risk”, particularly in the context of cryptocurrency trading.
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Volatility Demystified: From Theory to Practice

Investors often associate volatility with uncertainty and risk but understanding its theoretical and practical aspects can help in turning volatility into opportunity and making informed trading decisions.
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Crypto Volatility is Tamer Than You Think !

Crypto is infamous for its volatility. How does the volatility of ETH and BTC, the dominant crypto duo, compare with the most volatile stocks in the S&P 500? We did a quick analysis looking at their respective volatilities in 2024 and over the last 10 years and the trendline is unmistakable.
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What is Volatility?

The definition of financial volatility can be different for different people. Interestingly though most people intuitively know what is meant by volatility even though the definitions may vary. High volatility is used as a measure of greater riskiness of a portfolio or an investment. Riskiness can be thought of as a greater chance of loss.
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An Introduction to the Risk Protocol

As some of you know, over the past 18 months or so, we have been hard at work on a unique crypto project. I wouldn’t say that it has been shrouded in secrecy but we have intentionally been tightlipped about it. Now that we are within striking distance of launch, we wanted to take the wraps off and introduce “The Risk Protocol” to the crypto community.
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